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Neighborhood · Bethlehem, PA

Burnside Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,976 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Burnside is a one-tract neighborhood of Bethlehem, PA, population 2,976. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Cost burden runs about a quarter against 31.1% citywide, putting Burnside 6.5% under its own city. Court records for this tract carry 50 eviction filings.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10. At $1,218 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Bethlehem commands. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 2.9% of renter households.

Among the 18 mapped neighborhoods of Bethlehem, it ranks #16 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 1.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Sayre Park and Westwood. Against average income of $104,018, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Burnside vs Bethlehem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
24.6% -21%
Bethlehem: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,218 -12%
Bethlehem: $1,382
Average HH income
$104,018 +57%
Bethlehem: $66,443
Poverty rate
5.1% -68%
Bethlehem: 15.8%
Renter share
23.3% -53%
Bethlehem: 50.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Burnside and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Burnside scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
25% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
5.1% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Burnside vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Burnside score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2BurnsideNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Burnside

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42095010300 5.2 2,976 25% $1,218
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 19%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Burnside

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 50Total filings (sum)
  • 2.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak year (2006)
  • 2.91%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Burnside

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Burnside?

Burnside scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Burnside compare to Bethlehem overall?

Burnside scores 0.7 points lower than Bethlehem overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 25% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,218 vs $1,382.
Q3

What is the average rent in Burnside?

Average gross rent in Burnside is $1,218/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Burnside residents are renters?

23% of Burnside households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 2,976 residents.
Q5

Is Burnside a high social-vulnerability area?

Burnside sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Burnside for landlords?

Burnside carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Burnside?

Burnside has 3,072 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.9%), Hispanic / Latino (13.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Burnside

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bethlehem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Burnside.

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