2 census tracts · pop 7,563 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10
· range 3–7.3
Sayre Park takes in 2 census tracts of Bethlehem, PA and houses 7,563 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.1/10, Moderate tier. 47% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 7.3, a 4.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Against a Bethlehem baseline of 31.1%, 58% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Average gross rent is $941, 32% below the Bethlehem average of $1,382. The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Court records for this tract carry 21 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 14.3% of renter households. The voucher gap is 10.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
The most recent observed rate, 6.0% in 2006, is well off that peak. That places it #17 of 18 neighborhoods in Bethlehem. The closest comparables inside the same city are Burnside and Westwood.
Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Sayre Park vs BethlehemHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Sayre Park
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
21Total filings (sum)
7.82%Avg annual filing rate
14.3%Peak year (2004)
5.98%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Sayre Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Sayre Park?
Sayre Park scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Sayre Park compare to Bethlehem overall?
Sayre Park scores 0.8 points lower than Bethlehem overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $941 vs $1,382.
Q3
What is the average rent in Sayre Park?
Average gross rent in Sayre Park is $941/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Sayre Park residents are renters?
42% of Sayre Park households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 7,563 residents.
Q5
Is Sayre Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Sayre Park sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Sayre Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Sayre Park is census tract 42095011100 (score 7.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 7.3, a spread of 4.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Sayre Park for landlords?
Sayre Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Sayre Park?
Sayre Park has 7,621 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.2%), Hispanic / Latino (6.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
