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Neighborhood · Bethlehem, PA

Sayre Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,563 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 1.9–7.1

Sayre Park is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Bethlehem with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,563 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 47% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $941/month sits 32% lower than the Bethlehem citywide average ($1,382).

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Sayre Park vs Bethlehem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.2% +87%
Bethlehem: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$941 -32%
Bethlehem: $1,382
Average HH income
$65,570 -1%
Bethlehem: $66,443
Poverty rate
19.8% +25%
Bethlehem: 15.8%
Renter share
42.0% -16%
Bethlehem: 50.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sayre Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.9–7.1

Why Sayre Park scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.4–5.5 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 3.4–7.1 across tracts
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–5.0 across tracts
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 4.0–9.1 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–7.1 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
19.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–9.6 across tracts
5.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–7.0 across tracts
6.0
Risk score comparison

Sayre Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Sayre Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Sayre Park: 4.44.4Sayre ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 4.24.2Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Sayre Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42095011100 7.1 3,622 46%
42095018004 1.9 3,941 69% $1,806
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Sayre Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 21Total filings (sum)
  • 7.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.3%Peak year (2004)
  • 5.98%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Sayre Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Sayre Park?

Sayre Park scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Sayre Park compare to Bethlehem overall?

Sayre Park scores 0.2 points higher than Bethlehem overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $941 vs $1,382.
Q3

What is the average rent in Sayre Park?

Average gross rent in Sayre Park is $941/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Sayre Park residents are renters?

42% of Sayre Park households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 7,563 residents.
Q5

Is Sayre Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Sayre Park sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Sayre Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Sayre Park is census tract 42095011100 (score 7.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.9 to 7.1, a spread of 5.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Sayre Park for landlords?

Sayre Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Sayre Park?

Sayre Park has 7,621 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.2%), Hispanic / Latino (6.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sayre Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bethlehem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sayre Park.

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