Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Buchanan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethlehem
Tract 42077009100 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 3,760 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 42077009100 sits in the Buchanan Park area of Bethlehem eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,684
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$73,797
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region
Centroid at 40.6410, -75.4088 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buchanan Park scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,322 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
How Buchanan Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 62Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2006)
- 13Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 160% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Buchanan Park
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 62 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Against the Lehigh County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Against Lehigh County at 45.1%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 2.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42077009100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077009100?
Census tract 42077009100 in the Buchanan Park neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42077009100?
Median gross rent is $1,322/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42077009100?
6.6% of residents in tract 42077009100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,760.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42077009100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 46th, minority 41th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 42077009100 considered part of Buchanan Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077009100 fall within Buchanan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077009100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 62 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077009100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.42% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42077009100 compare to Bethlehem overall?
Tract 42077009100 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Bethlehem at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42077009100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem
Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Sayre Park
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Side
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Elliott Heights
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Clearfield Terrace
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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