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Neighborhood · Bethlehem, PA

Historic South Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 7,471 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 5.4–6.9

Historic South Bethlehem is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Bethlehem with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,471 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 62% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,303/month sits 6% lower than the Bethlehem citywide average ($1,382).

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Historic South Bethlehem vs Bethlehem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.7% +98%
Bethlehem: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,303 -6%
Bethlehem: $1,382
Average HH income
$44,321 -33%
Bethlehem: $66,443
Poverty rate
29.9% +89%
Bethlehem: 15.8%
Renter share
77.0% +54%
Bethlehem: 50.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Historic South Bethlehem and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.4–6.9

Why Historic South Bethlehem scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
77% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
29.9% below poverty line · Range 3.4–10.0 across tracts
6.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–4.0 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Historic South Bethlehem vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Historic South Bethlehem score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Historic South Bet: 6.26.2Historic South BetNeighborhoodParent city: 4.24.2Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Historic South Bethlehem

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42095011000 6.9 3,877 58% $1,248
42095010900 5.4 3,594 66% $1,362
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 40%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Historic South Bethlehem

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 716Total filings (sum)
  • 7.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak year (2006)
  • 9.40%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Historic South Bethlehem

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Historic South Bethlehem?

Historic South Bethlehem scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Historic South Bethlehem compare to Bethlehem overall?

Historic South Bethlehem scores 2.0 points higher than Bethlehem overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,303 vs $1,382.
Q3

What is the average rent in Historic South Bethlehem?

Average gross rent in Historic South Bethlehem eviction risk is $1,303/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Historic South Bethlehem residents are renters?

77% of Historic South Bethlehem households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 7,471 residents.
Q5

Is Historic South Bethlehem a high social-vulnerability area?

Historic South Bethlehem sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Historic South Bethlehem have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Historic South Bethlehem is census tract 42095011000 (score 6.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 6.9, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Historic South Bethlehem for landlords?

Historic South Bethlehem eviction risk carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Historic South Bethlehem?

Historic South Bethlehem has 7,417 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (44%), White (non-Hispanic) (31.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Historic South Bethlehem

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bethlehem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Historic South Bethlehem.

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