2 census tracts · pop 7,471 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10
· range 7.3–7.3
Historic South Bethlehem is a 2-tract neighborhood of Bethlehem, PA, population 7,471. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.3/10, Elevated tier. Against a Bethlehem baseline of 31.1%, 62% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
This is a renter market: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average household income of $44,321 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Court records carry 716 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10.
Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.1/10. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 10.6% of renter households. That places it #1 of 18 neighborhoods in Bethlehem.
Judgments average 4.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Historic South Bethlehem vs BethlehemHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Historic South Bethlehem
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
716Total filings (sum)
7.26%Avg annual filing rate
10.6%Peak year (2006)
9.40%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Historic South Bethlehem
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Historic South Bethlehem?
Historic South Bethlehem scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Historic South Bethlehem compare to Bethlehem overall?
Historic South Bethlehem scores 1.4 points higher than Bethlehem overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,303 vs $1,382.
Q3
What is the average rent in Historic South Bethlehem?
Average gross rent in Historic South Bethlehem eviction risk is $1,303/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Historic South Bethlehem residents are renters?
77% of Historic South Bethlehem households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 7,471 residents.
Q5
Is Historic South Bethlehem a high social-vulnerability area?
Historic South Bethlehem sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Historic South Bethlehem have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Historic South Bethlehem is census tract 42095011000 (score 7.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.3 to 7.3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Historic South Bethlehem for landlords?
Historic South Bethlehem eviction risk carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Historic South Bethlehem?
Historic South Bethlehem has 7,417 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (44%), White (non-Hispanic) (31.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
