1 census tracts · pop 3,693 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10
· range 4.5–4.5
Monocacy Hills is a one-tract neighborhood of Bethlehem, PA, population 3,693. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.5/10, in the Moderate tier. At $3,501 a month, rents sit 153% over what the rest of Bethlehem commands.
What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 132.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. 30% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.
The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records for this tract carry 27 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 5.6% of renter households.
That places it #18 of 18 neighborhoods in Bethlehem. Judgments average 1.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
One tract means one number: 4.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Monocacy Hills vs BethlehemHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority24%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Monocacy Hills
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
27Total filings (sum)
3.08%Avg annual filing rate
5.6%Peak year (2006)
5.56%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Monocacy Hills
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Monocacy Hills?
Monocacy Hills scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Monocacy Hills compare to Bethlehem overall?
Monocacy Hills scores 1.4 points lower than Bethlehem overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $1,382.
Q3
What is the average rent in Monocacy Hills?
Average gross rent in Monocacy Hills is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Monocacy Hills residents are renters?
14% of Monocacy Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 3,693 residents.
Q5
Is Monocacy Hills a high social-vulnerability area?
Monocacy Hills sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Monocacy Hills for landlords?
Monocacy Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Monocacy Hills?
Monocacy Hills has 3,752 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.3%), Hispanic / Latino (7.1%), Other / Multiracial (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
