Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Burnside Eviction Risk: Lower , Bethlehem
Tract 42095010300 · Northampton County, PA · pop 2,976 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
How risky is the Burnside neighborhood of Bethlehem for landlords? Census tract 42095010300 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 52% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 25% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,218 monthly, set against $104,018 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,500
Renter share23.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$104,018
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
55
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region
Centroid at 40.6370, -75.3749 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burnside scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,218 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
How Burnside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 41%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 50Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2006)
- 11Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burnside
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Northampton County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 50 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.9% of renter households in 2006.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42095010300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095010300?
Census tract 42095010300 in the Burnside neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42095010300?
Median gross rent is $1,218/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42095010300?
5.1% of residents in tract 42095010300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,976.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42095010300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 52th, minority 38th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 42095010300 considered part of Burnside?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095010300 fall within Burnside (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095010300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 50 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095010300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.14% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42095010300 compare to Bethlehem overall?
Tract 42095010300 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Bethlehem at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42095010300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem
Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Sayre Park
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Clearfield Terrace
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic Bethlehem
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Elliott Heights
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Side
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Bethlehem
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Bethlehem
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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