Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Burnside Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethlehem

Tract 42095010300 · Northampton County, PA · pop 2,976 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 42095010300 in the Burnside area of Bethlehem, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,976. Against Northampton County at 43.1%, roughly one in four of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 18% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,500
Renter share23.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$104,018

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Burnside
Moderate
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 19 tracts In Bethlehem
Very Low
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 74 tracts In Northampton County
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#1,074 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region

Centroid at 40.6370, -75.3749 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burnside scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,218 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1

How Burnside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burnside risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0103005.9Bethlehemparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 50Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak (2006)
  • 11Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42095010300
Filings climbed 38% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burnside

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 50 evictions over 7 years of observation. Against the Northampton County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

At $1,218 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Bethlehem commands. Filings peaked in 2006 at 2.9% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $104,018, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42095010300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095010300?

Census tract 42095010300 in the Burnside neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42095010300?

Median gross rent is $1,218/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42095010300?

5.1% of residents in tract 42095010300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,976.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42095010300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 52th, minority 38th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 42095010300 considered part of Burnside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095010300 fall within Burnside (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095010300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 50 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095010300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.14% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42095010300 compare to Bethlehem overall?

Tract 42095010300 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bethlehem at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42095010300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem

Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related