Neighborhood · Bethlehem, PA

Central Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,568 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Central Bethlehem is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Bethlehem with 1 census tract and a population of 4,568 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 60% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,454/month sits 5% higher than the Bethlehem citywide average ($1,382).

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Central Bethlehem vs Bethlehem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

59.5% +91%

Bethlehem: 31.1%

Average gross rent

$1,454 +5%

Bethlehem: $1,382

Average HH income

$68,894 +4%

Bethlehem: $66,443

Poverty rate

18.3% +16%

Bethlehem: 15.8%

Renter share

59.4% +19%

Bethlehem: 50.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Bethlehem and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Central Bethlehem scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

60% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

59% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts

9.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Economic stress

18.3% below poverty line · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Risk score comparison

Central Bethlehem vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Central Bethlehem

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42095010700	5.5	4,568	60%	$1,454

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 12%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 65%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central Bethlehem

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

312Total filings (sum)
6.07%Avg annual filing rate
8.5%Peak year (2005)
7.63%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About Central Bethlehem

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Bethlehem?

Central Bethlehem scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Central Bethlehem compare to Bethlehem overall?

Central Bethlehem scores 1.3 points higher than Bethlehem overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,454 vs $1,382.

What is the average rent in Central Bethlehem?

Average gross rent in Central Bethlehem eviction risk is $1,454/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Central Bethlehem residents are renters?

59% of Central Bethlehem households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 4,568 residents.

Is Central Bethlehem a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Bethlehem sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Central Bethlehem for landlords?

Central Bethlehem eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Bethlehem?

Central Bethlehem has 4,761 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.4%), Hispanic / Latino (25.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Bethlehem

6.2 Historic South Bethlehem 2 tracts · pop 7,471 4.8 Clearfield Terrace 2 tracts · pop 7,283 4.5 Sayre Park 2 tracts · pop 7,563 2.4 Wagner Terrace 2 tracts · pop 6,109 1.6 Trio Fields 2 tracts · pop 11,725 2 Somerset Village 2 tracts · pop 9,643

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bethlehem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central Bethlehem.

5.5 West Bethlehem 1 tracts · pop 4,871 5.6 South Side 1 tracts · pop 5,369 5.3 Clearfield Terrace 2 tracts · pop 7,283 5.2 Elmwood Park 1 tracts · pop 2,892 5.2 Brinker Terrace 1 tracts · pop 4,446 5.1 Rosemont 1 tracts · pop 3,416

Zoom out