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Neighborhood · Bethlehem, PA

Central Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,568 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 7.3–7.3

Central Bethlehem is a one-tract neighborhood of Bethlehem, PA, population 4,568. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.3/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 60% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Bethlehem rate of 31.1%.

29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The filing record is not thin: 312 evictions logged in this tract. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10.

On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.1/10. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 8.5% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 7.6% in 2006 against a 8.5% peak.

That places it #1 of 18 neighborhoods in Bethlehem. Average gross rent runs $1,454, close to the Bethlehem average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $68,894.

One tract means one number: 7.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Central Bethlehem vs Bethlehem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.5% +91%
Bethlehem: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,454 +5%
Bethlehem: $1,382
Average HH income
$68,894 +4%
Bethlehem: $66,443
Poverty rate
18.3% +16%
Bethlehem: 15.8%
Renter share
59.4% +19%
Bethlehem: 50.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Bethlehem and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.3–7.3

Why Central Bethlehem scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
59% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
18.3% below poverty line · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Central Bethlehem vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Central Bethlehem score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.3Central BethlehemNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Central Bethlehem

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42095010700 7.3 4,568 60% $1,454
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central Bethlehem

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 312Total filings (sum)
  • 6.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak year (2005)
  • 7.63%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Central Bethlehem

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Bethlehem?

Central Bethlehem scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Central Bethlehem compare to Bethlehem overall?

Central Bethlehem scores 1.4 points higher than Bethlehem overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,454 vs $1,382.
Q3

What is the average rent in Central Bethlehem?

Average gross rent in Central Bethlehem eviction risk is $1,454/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Central Bethlehem residents are renters?

59% of Central Bethlehem households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 4,568 residents.
Q5

Is Central Bethlehem a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Bethlehem sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Central Bethlehem for landlords?

Central Bethlehem eviction risk carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Bethlehem?

Central Bethlehem has 4,761 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.4%), Hispanic / Latino (25.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Bethlehem

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bethlehem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central Bethlehem.

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