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Neighborhood · Bethlehem, PA

South Side Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,369 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 7.3–7.3

South Side is a one-tract neighborhood of Bethlehem, PA, population 5,369. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. 63% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Bethlehem rate of 31.1%.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. This is a renter market: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Court records for this tract carry 689 eviction filings.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.1/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 13.8% of renter households. At $1,267 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Bethlehem commands.

That places it #1 of 18 neighborhoods in Bethlehem. Judgments average 5.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Central Bethlehem and Historic Bethlehem.

One tract means one number: 7.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Side vs Bethlehem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.1% +103%
Bethlehem: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,267 -8%
Bethlehem: $1,382
Average HH income
$46,165 -31%
Bethlehem: $66,443
Poverty rate
14.0% -11%
Bethlehem: 15.8%
Renter share
69.8% +39%
Bethlehem: 50.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Side and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.3–7.3

Why South Side scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
70% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
14.0% below poverty line · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

South Side vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Side score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.3South SideNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in South Side

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42095011200 7.3 5,369 63% $1,267
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 98

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 96%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 99%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Side

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 689Total filings (sum)
  • 9.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.8%Peak year (2006)
  • 13.79%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About South Side

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Side?

South Side scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Side compare to Bethlehem overall?

South Side scores 1.4 points higher than Bethlehem overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,267 vs $1,382.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Side?

Average gross rent in South Side is $1,267/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Side residents are renters?

70% of South Side households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 5,369 residents.
Q5

Is South Side a high social-vulnerability area?

South Side sits in the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is South Side for landlords?

South Side carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of South Side?

South Side has 5,268 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (47.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (22.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Side

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bethlehem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Side.

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