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Neighborhood · Bethlehem, PA

Historic Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,139 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 6.7–6.7

Historic Bethlehem is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Bethlehem with 1 census tract and a population of 3,139 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 36% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $912/month sits 34% lower than the Bethlehem citywide average ($1,382).

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Historic Bethlehem vs Bethlehem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.2% +16%
Bethlehem: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$912 -34%
Bethlehem: $1,382
Average HH income
$48,207 -27%
Bethlehem: $66,443
Poverty rate
31.6% +100%
Bethlehem: 15.8%
Renter share
77.6% +55%
Bethlehem: 50.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Historic Bethlehem and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.7–6.7

Why Historic Bethlehem scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
78% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
31.6% below poverty line · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Risk score comparison

Historic Bethlehem vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Historic Bethlehem score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Historic Bethlehem: 6.76.7Historic BethlehemNeighborhoodParent city: 4.24.2Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Historic Bethlehem

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42095010800 6.7 3,139 36% $912
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 34%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 98%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Historic Bethlehem

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 194Total filings (sum)
  • 2.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak year (2005)
  • 3.36%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Historic Bethlehem

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Historic Bethlehem?

Historic Bethlehem scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Historic Bethlehem compare to Bethlehem overall?

Historic Bethlehem scores 2.5 points higher than Bethlehem overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $912 vs $1,382.
Q3

What is the average rent in Historic Bethlehem?

Average gross rent in Historic Bethlehem eviction risk is $912/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Historic Bethlehem residents are renters?

78% of Historic Bethlehem households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 3,139 residents.
Q5

Is Historic Bethlehem a high social-vulnerability area?

Historic Bethlehem sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Historic Bethlehem for landlords?

Historic Bethlehem eviction risk carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Historic Bethlehem?

Historic Bethlehem has 3,433 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.6%), Hispanic / Latino (12.5%), Other / Multiracial (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Historic Bethlehem

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bethlehem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Historic Bethlehem.

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