1 census tracts · pop 3,139 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10
· range 7.3–7.3
Historic Bethlehem is a one-tract neighborhood of Bethlehem, PA, population 3,139. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.3/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.
Average gross rent is $912, 34% below the Bethlehem average of $1,382. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.1/10. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side is economic stress at 7.9/10. Cost burden runs 36% against 31.1% citywide, putting Historic Bethlehem 5.1% over its own city.
Court records for this tract carry 194 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 3.6% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 3.4% in 2006 against a 3.6% peak. That places it #1 of 18 neighborhoods in Bethlehem.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Central Bethlehem and Historic South Bethlehem.
One tract means one number: 7.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Historic Bethlehem vs BethlehemHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority34%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport98%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Historic Bethlehem
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
194Total filings (sum)
2.55%Avg annual filing rate
3.6%Peak year (2005)
3.36%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Historic Bethlehem
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Historic Bethlehem?
Historic Bethlehem scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Historic Bethlehem compare to Bethlehem overall?
Historic Bethlehem scores 1.4 points higher than Bethlehem overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $912 vs $1,382.
Q3
What is the average rent in Historic Bethlehem?
Average gross rent in Historic Bethlehem eviction risk is $912/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Historic Bethlehem residents are renters?
78% of Historic Bethlehem households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Bethlehem). The neighborhood has 3,139 residents.
Q5
Is Historic Bethlehem a high social-vulnerability area?
Historic Bethlehem sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Historic Bethlehem for landlords?
Historic Bethlehem eviction risk carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethlehem as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Historic Bethlehem?
Historic Bethlehem has 3,433 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.6%), Hispanic / Latino (12.5%), Other / Multiracial (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
