Elliott Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bethlehem

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,100, 20% below the Bethlehem average. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.

50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Lehigh County average of 45.1%. Court records carry 257 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2006, when 7.2% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.