Historic South Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Elevated

It sits 2.8 points above the Northampton County average of 4.5. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 396 filings here across 7 tracked years. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10. The worst year on record was 2004, when 10.6% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bethlehem. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.