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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Historic Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 42095010800 · Northampton County, PA · pop 3,139 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 42095010800 sits in the Historic Bethlehem area of Bethlehem eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 3,139 residents. Against the Northampton County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.8 points.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 50% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,482
Renter share77.6%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate31.6%
Median income$48,207

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Historic Bethlehem
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 19 tracts In Bethlehem
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 74 tracts In Northampton County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region

Centroid at 40.6211, -75.3769 · click any tract to drill in

Why Historic Bethlehem scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
31.6% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$912 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1

How Historic Bethlehem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Historic Bethlehem risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0108005.9Bethlehemparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 194Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak (2005)
  • 34Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42095010800
Filings climbed 55% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Historic Bethlehem

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. At $912 a month, rents run 34% under what the rest of Bethlehem commands.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 36% here against 43.1% across Northampton County.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 194 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 3.6% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42095010800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095010800?

Census tract 42095010800 in the Historic Bethlehem neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42095010800?

Median gross rent is $912/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42095010800?

31.6% of residents in tract 42095010800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,139.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42095010800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 53th, minority 34th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 42095010800 considered part of Historic Bethlehem?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095010800 fall within Historic Bethlehem (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095010800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 194 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095010800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.55% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42095010800 compare to Bethlehem overall?

Tract 42095010800 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Bethlehem at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42095010800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem

Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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