Central Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Elevated

It sits 2.8 points above the Northampton County average of 4.5. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 312 filings here across 7 tracked years. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10. Filings peaked in 2005 at 8.5% of renter households.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bethlehem. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.