Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
South Side Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bethlehem
Tract 42095011200 · Northampton County, PA · pop 5,369 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
42095011200 is a census tract in the South Side area of Bethlehem, PA. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,369. Cost burden runs 63% here against 43.1% across Northampton County.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,086
Renter share69.8%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$46,165
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region
Centroid at 40.6072, -75.3661 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Side scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,267 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
How South Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 26%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 689Total filings over 7 yrs
- 9.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.8%Peak (2006)
- 146Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 39% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Side
It sits 2.8 points above the Northampton County average of 4.5. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $46,165 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Court records carry 689 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10. Filings peaked in 2006 at 13.8% of renter households.
Average gross rent is $1,267, 8% below the Bethlehem average. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bethlehem. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42095011200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095011200?
Census tract 42095011200 in the South Side neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42095011200?
Median gross rent is $1,267/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42095011200?
14.0% of residents in tract 42095011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,369.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42095011200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 99th, minority 83th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 42095011200 considered part of South Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095011200 fall within South Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095011200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 689 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095011200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.69% of renter households, peaking at 13.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42095011200 compare to Bethlehem overall?
Tract 42095011200 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Bethlehem at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42095011200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem
Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Elliott Heights
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Clearfield Terrace
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Sayre Park
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Brinker Terrace
7
/ 10 · Elevated
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