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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Monocacy Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Bethlehem

Tract 42095010200 · Northampton County, PA · pop 3,693 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Monocacy Hills in Bethlehem anchors census tract 42095010200, which lands at 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,501 a month while the average household earns $135,859 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 10% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,559
Renter share14.2%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$135,859

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Monocacy Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 19 tracts In Bethlehem
Very Low
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 74 tracts In Northampton County
Elevated
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#2,003 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region

Centroid at 40.6487, -75.3706 · click any tract to drill in

Why Monocacy Hills scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1

How Monocacy Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Monocacy Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 010200Bethlehem: 4.24.2Bethlehemparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 27Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2006)
  • 6Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420950102002000: 5 filings (3.56/100 renter HHs)2001: 2 filings (1.42/100 renter HHs)2002: 5 filings (3.56/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (2.14/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (0.71/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2006: 6 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Monocacy Hills

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Northampton County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 27 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.6% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42095010200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095010200?

Census tract 42095010200 in the Monocacy Hills neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42095010200?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42095010200?

3.6% of residents in tract 42095010200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,693.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42095010200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 48th, minority 24th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 42095010200 considered part of Monocacy Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095010200 fall within Monocacy Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095010200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095010200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.08% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42095010200 compare to Bethlehem overall?

Tract 42095010200 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bethlehem at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem

Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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