Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Monocacy Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethlehem
Tract 42095010200 · Northampton County, PA · pop 3,693 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
42095010200 is a census tract in the Monocacy Hills area of Bethlehem, PA. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,693 residents. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,559
Renter share14.2%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$135,859
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region
Centroid at 40.6487, -75.3706 · click any tract to drill in
Why Monocacy Hills scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
How Monocacy Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 27Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2006)
- 6Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Monocacy Hills
At $3,501 a month, rents run 153% over what the rest of Bethlehem commands. The voucher gap is 132.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Cost burden runs 30% here against 43.1% across Northampton County. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 27 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 5.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42095010200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095010200?
Census tract 42095010200 in the Monocacy Hills neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42095010200?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42095010200?
3.6% of residents in tract 42095010200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,693.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42095010200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 48th, minority 24th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 42095010200 considered part of Monocacy Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095010200 fall within Monocacy Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095010200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095010200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.08% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42095010200 compare to Bethlehem overall?
Tract 42095010200 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Bethlehem at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem
Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
South Side
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Elliott Heights
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Clearfield Terrace
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Sayre Park
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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