McClellan Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , York

It sits 2.9 points above the York County average of 4.4. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $42,093, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10.

Court records carry 413 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,134, 12% above the York average. Filings peaked in 2006 at 16.6% of renter households.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.