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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

Royal Square District Eviction Risk: Elevated , York

Tract 42133000300 · York County, PA · pop 2,456 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 7.1/10 for census tract 42133000300 reflects conditions in the Royal Square District neighborhood of York, Pennsylvania. That is riskier than about 95% of US census tracts.

75% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $926 a month while the average household earns $29,106 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 82% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 20% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,036
Renter share81.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate36.1%
Median income$29,106

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Royal Square District
Elevated
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 17 tracts In York
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 108 tracts In York County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#95 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across York and the region

Centroid at 39.9694, -76.7169 · click any tract to drill in

Why Royal Square District scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
36.1% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$926 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7

How Royal Square District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Royal Square District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.96.9This tracttract 000300York: 4.34.3Yorkparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 791Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 24.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 36.5%Peak (2006)
  • 155Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 421330003002000: 95 filings (20.00/100 renter HHs)2001: 99 filings (20.84/100 renter HHs)2002: 88 filings (18.53/100 renter HHs)2003: 115 filings (24.21/100 renter HHs)2004: 110 filings (23.16/100 renter HHs)2005: 129 filings (30.35/100 renter HHs)2006: 155 filings (36.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 63% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Royal Square District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Royal Square District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from York eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the York County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 791 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 24.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 36.5% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42133000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133000300?

Census tract 42133000300 in the Royal Square District neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42133000300?

Median gross rent is $926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42133000300?

36.1% of residents in tract 42133000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,456.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42133000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 94th, minority 84th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 42133000300 considered part of Royal Square District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133000300 fall within Royal Square District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133000300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 791 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.79% of renter households, peaking at 36.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42133000300 compare to York overall?

Tract 42133000300 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of York at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42133000300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in York

Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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