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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Elmwood Eviction Risk: Elevated , York

Tract 42133000500 · York County, PA · pop 2,712 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 42133000500, home to 2,712 residents in Elmwood in York, scores 6.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #7,421 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $48,090 a year. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 16% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,200
Renter share42.7%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$48,090

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Elmwood
Very Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 17 tracts In York
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 108 tracts In York County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#398 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across York and the region

Centroid at 39.9667, -76.7092 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmwood scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7

How Elmwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elmwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 000500York: 4.34.3Yorkparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 594Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 14.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.9%Peak (2005)
  • 88Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 421330005002000: 79 filings (13.81/100 renter HHs)2001: 90 filings (15.74/100 renter HHs)2002: 73 filings (12.76/100 renter HHs)2003: 78 filings (13.64/100 renter HHs)2004: 90 filings (15.74/100 renter HHs)2005: 96 filings (14.88/100 renter HHs)2006: 88 filings (13.64/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmwood

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from York eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the York County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 594 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 14.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.9% of renter households in 2005.

Part of this tract, about 43% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42133000500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133000500?

Census tract 42133000500 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 42133000500?

23.4% of residents in tract 42133000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,712.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 42133000500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 74th, minority 83th, housing 55th.
Q4

Is tract 42133000500 considered part of Elmwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133000500 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133000500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 594 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.32% of renter households, peaking at 14.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42133000500 compare to York overall?

Tract 42133000500 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of York at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42133000500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 43% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in York

Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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