Elmwood Eviction Risk: Elevated , York

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10.

Court records carry 272 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 20.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for York. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 11.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,046, close to the York average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.