Elmwood Eviction Risk: Elevated , York
Tract 42133000400 · York County, PA · pop 1,951 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 42133000400 (Elmwood in York, Pennsylvania) comes in at 6.7/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 90th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,046 a month while the average household earns $43,750 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across York and the region
Centroid at 39.9724, -76.7074 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmwood scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Elmwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 11%Grade B
- 61%Grade C
- 12%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 272Total filings over 7 yrs
- 11.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.6%Peak (2004)
- 40Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Elmwood
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from York eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the York County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 272 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 11.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.6% of renter households in 2004.
Part of this tract, about 12% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 42133000400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133000400?
What is the average rent in tract 42133000400?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133000400?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133000400?
Is tract 42133000400 considered part of Elmwood?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133000400?
How does tract 42133000400 compare to York overall?
Was tract 42133000400 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in York
Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.