Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. SNAP participation is 33.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2.3/10.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 17.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,179, 16% below the Providence average of $1,408.

Court records carry 412 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 6.6% of renter households. Among the 15 mapped neighborhoods of Providence, it ranks #7 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 3.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

With little internal variation, 7.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.