Neighborhood · Providence, RI

Elmwood Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 17,286 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 4.6–8

Elmwood is a 4-tract neighborhood of Providence, RI, population 17,286. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.7/10, Elevated tier. 47% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Providence rate of 29.2%.

Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 4.6 to 8. A 3.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.6/10.

Average gross rent is $1,061, 25% below the Providence average of $1,408. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 24.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 29.8% of adults, 12.0 points above the national rate. Court records carry 232 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 4.5% of renter households. Among the 15 mapped neighborhoods of Providence, it ranks #12 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 2.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Dyerville and Merino score within a fraction of it.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 3.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

6.7

Elevated

4 tracts · population-weighted

Elmwood vs Providence How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

47.0% +61%

Providence: 29.2%

Average gross rent

$1,061 -25%

Providence: $1,408

Average HH income

$56,616 -15%

Providence: $66,772

Poverty rate

15.9% -21%

Providence: 20.1%

Renter share

55.8% -5%

Providence: 58.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.6–8

Why Elmwood scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.0–7.5 across tracts

6.8

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 3.5–5.5 across tracts

5.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–6.5 across tracts

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

56% renter households · Range 4.5–7.0 across tracts

6.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.5–6.5 across tracts

6.2

Economic stress

15.9% below poverty line · Range 3.1–6.7 across tracts

4.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.2 across tracts

1.6

Risk score comparison

Elmwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Elmwood?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3.4 points from 4.6 to 8. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

8.0 7.7 6.5 4.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Elmwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
44007000301	8	2,985	53%	$1,086
44007000200	7.7	6,634	51%	$1,095
44007001500	6.5	3,095	43%	$1,158
44007014100	4.6	4,572	41%	$928

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 83%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 53%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Elmwood

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

232Total filings (sum)
3.73%Avg annual filing rate
4.5%Peak year (2016)
4.04%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

831Total filings 2020-21
3.1Avg monthly observed
3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.88×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

24.8%Housing insecurity
14.1%Utility shutoff threat
30.0%Food insecurity
24.8%SNAP enrollment
17.5%No health insurance
33.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Elmwood

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmwood?

Elmwood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Elmwood compare to Providence overall?

Elmwood scores 0.1 points higher than Providence overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,061 vs $1,408.

What is the average rent in Elmwood?

Average gross rent in Elmwood is $1,061/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Elmwood residents are renters?

56% of Elmwood households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Providence). The neighborhood has 17,286 residents.

Is Elmwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmwood sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Elmwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Elmwood is census tract 44007000301 (score 8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 8, a spread of 3.4 points.

How safe is Elmwood for landlords?

Elmwood carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Providence as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmwood?

Elmwood has 16,543 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (65.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmwood

7.9 Wesleyan Avenue Historic District 4 tracts · pop 15,890 7.8 Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District 3 tracts · pop 14,533 6.7 Merino 4 tracts · pop 23,887 4.5 Auburn 2 tracts · pop 8,152 5.6 Edgewood 4 tracts · pop 18,596 6.9 Dyerville 4 tracts · pop 18,099

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Providence

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmwood.

6.8 Dyerville 4 tracts · pop 18,099 6.5 Merino 4 tracts · pop 23,887 6.3 College Hill 2 tracts · pop 10,580 7.3 Fox Point 1 tracts · pop 3,783 6 Fruit Hill 2 tracts · pop 15,400 7.5 Wanskuck 5 tracts · pop 23,926

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