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Neighborhood · Providence, RI

Elmwood Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 17,286 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 3.4–6.5

Elmwood is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Providence with 4 census tracts and a population of 17,286 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,061/month sits 25% lower than the Providence citywide average ($1,408).

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Elmwood vs Providence How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.0% +61%
Providence: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$1,061 -25%
Providence: $1,408
Average HH income
$56,616 -15%
Providence: $66,772
Poverty rate
15.9% -21%
Providence: 20.1%
Renter share
55.8% -5%
Providence: 58.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.4–6.5

Why Elmwood scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–7.5 across tracts
6.8
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 3.5–5.5 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–6.5 across tracts
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
56% renter households · Range 4.5–7.0 across tracts
6.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–6.5 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
15.9% below poverty line · Range 3.1–6.7 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.2 across tracts
1.6
Risk score comparison

Elmwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Elmwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Elmwood: 4.94.9ElmwoodNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 5.65.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Elmwood?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 3.1 points from 3.4 to 6.5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Elmwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
44007000301 6.5 2,985 53% $1,086
44007000200 5.4 6,634 51% $1,095
44007001500 4.5 3,095 43% $1,158
44007014100 3.4 4,572 41% $928
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 83%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Elmwood

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 232Total filings (sum)
  • 3.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.04%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 831Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.1Avg monthly observed
  • 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.88×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Elmwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmwood?

Elmwood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Elmwood compare to Providence overall?

Elmwood scores 1.1 points lower than Providence overall (6/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,061 vs $1,408.
Q3

What is the average rent in Elmwood?

Average gross rent in Elmwood is $1,061/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Elmwood residents are renters?

56% of Elmwood households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Providence). The neighborhood has 17,286 residents.
Q5

Is Elmwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmwood sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Elmwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Elmwood is census tract 44007000301 (score 6.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 6.5, a spread of 3.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Elmwood for landlords?

Elmwood carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Providence as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmwood?

Elmwood has 16,543 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (65.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Providence

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmwood.

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