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Neighborhood · Providence, RI

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 15,890 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.9/10 · range 7.6–8

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District is a 4-tract neighborhood of Providence, RI and houses 15,890 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.9/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 61% against 29.2% citywide, putting Wesleyan Avenue Historic District 32.2% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 38%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 22.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. Average gross rent is $991, 30% below the Providence average of $1,408.

This is a renter market: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 29%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 23.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Filings are well documented here: 495 across 3 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.1/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 17.3% of renter households. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. That places it #5 of 15 neighborhoods in Providence.

Judgments average 5.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District vs Providence How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.4% +110%
Providence: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$991 -30%
Providence: $1,408
Average HH income
$42,807 -36%
Providence: $66,772
Poverty rate
28.8% +44%
Providence: 20.1%
Renter share
71.1% +21%
Providence: 58.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Wesleyan Avenue Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 7.6–8

Why Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 7.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
71% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
28.8% below poverty line · Range 4.7–10.0 across tracts
7.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.1 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Wesleyan Avenue Hi: 7.97.9Wesleyan Avenue HiNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.65.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 7.6 to 8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
44007000302 8 5,219 70% $979
44007000500 8 3,674 69% $781
44007000700 8 2,624 62% $1,050
44007000400 7.6 4,373 45% $1,148
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 94

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 96%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 91%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 495Total filings (sum)
  • 9.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 9.19%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,654Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.2Avg monthly observed
  • 6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.86×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Wesleyan Avenue Historic District compare to Providence overall?

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 1.3 points higher than Providence overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $991 vs $1,408.
Q3

What is the average rent in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Average gross rent in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District is $991/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District residents are renters?

71% of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Providence). The neighborhood has 15,890 residents.
Q5

Is Wesleyan Avenue Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District sits in the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District is census tract 44007000302 (score 8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.6 to 8, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Wesleyan Avenue Historic District for landlords?

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Providence as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District has 16,323 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (70.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Providence

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Wesleyan Avenue Historic District.

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