Neighborhood · Providence, RI

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 15,890 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 5.3–6.8

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Providence with 4 census tracts and a population of 15,890 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 38% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $991/month sits 30% lower than the Providence citywide average ($1,408).

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

4 tracts · population-weighted

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District vs Providence How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

61.4% +110%

Providence: 29.2%

Average gross rent

$991 -30%

Providence: $1,408

Average HH income

$42,807 -36%

Providence: $66,772

Poverty rate

28.8% +44%

Providence: 20.1%

Renter share

71.1% +21%

Providence: 58.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Wesleyan Avenue Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.3–6.8

Why Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

61% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

71% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

28.8% below poverty line · Range 4.7–10.0 across tracts

7.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.1 across tracts

1.4

Risk score comparison

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.5 points from 5.3 to 6.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

6.8 6.7 6.6 5.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
44007000700	6.8	2,624	62%	$1,050
44007000500	6.7	3,674	69%	$781
44007000302	6.6	5,219	70%	$979
44007000400	5.3	4,373	45%	$1,148

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 94

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 96%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 91%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 65%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

495Total filings (sum)
9.35%Avg annual filing rate
17.3%Peak year (2016)
9.19%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,654Total filings 2020-21
5.2Avg monthly observed
6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.86×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

35.7%Housing insecurity
22.5%Utility shutoff threat
45.0%Food insecurity
42.2%SNAP enrollment
23.3%No health insurance
40.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Wesleyan Avenue Historic District compare to Providence overall?

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 0.3 points higher than Providence overall (6/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $991 vs $1,408.

What is the average rent in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Average gross rent in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District is $991/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District residents are renters?

71% of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Providence). The neighborhood has 15,890 residents.

Is Wesleyan Avenue Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District sits in the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District is census tract 44007000700 (score 6.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 6.8, a spread of 1.5 points.

How safe is Wesleyan Avenue Historic District for landlords?

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Providence as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District has 16,323 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (70.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

5 Elmwood 4 tracts · pop 17,286 5.9 Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District 3 tracts · pop 14,533 5.5 Federal Hill 5 tracts · pop 16,742 6 Downtown 2 tracts · pop 7,694 4.9 Dyerville 4 tracts · pop 18,099 4.2 Edgewood 4 tracts · pop 18,596

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Providence

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Wesleyan Avenue Historic District.

6.3 Manton 1 tracts · pop 7,251 6.2 Stimson Avenue Historic District 1 tracts · pop 2,696 6 Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District 3 tracts · pop 14,533 5.9 Providence Jewelry Manufacturing Historic District 1 tracts · pop 2,414 5.9 Downtown 2 tracts · pop 7,694 5.6 Wanskuck 5 tracts · pop 23,926

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