Federal Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated
5 census tracts · pop 16,742 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10 · range 6–8
Federal Hill is a 5-tract neighborhood of Providence, RI, population 16,742. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.6/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6 to 8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Filings are well documented here: 569 across 5 observed tracts.
Against a Providence baseline of 29.2%, 34% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 21.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 10.5% of renter households.
Average gross rent is $1,518, 8% above the Providence average of $1,408. That places it #7 of 15 neighborhoods in Providence.
Judgments average 3.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Risk heat across Federal Hill and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 6–8
Why Federal Hill scores 7.6
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendlyFederal Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Federal Hill?
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.
5 tracts in Federal Hill
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44007000900 | 8 | 2,913 | 26% | $1,452 |
| 44007001000 | 8 | 2,523 | 64% | $1,319 |
| 44007002200 | 7.9 | 5,647 | 29% | $1,373 |
| 44007002500 | 7.5 | 3,117 | 33% | $1,921 |
| 44007001100 | 6 | 2,542 | 25% | $1,621 |
CDC SVI percentile: 66
Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Court-record eviction history in Federal Hill
Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 569Total filings (sum)
- 6.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak year (2016)
- 6.15%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,482Total filings 2020-21
- 4.1Avg monthly observed
- 5.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.93×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR).
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Federal Hill
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
- 23.4%Housing insecurity
- 13.8%Utility shutoff threat
- 28.0%Food insecurity
- 24.4%SNAP enrollment
- 15.1%No health insurance
- 31.0%Any disability
About Federal Hill
How does Federal Hill compare to Providence overall?
What is the average rent in Federal Hill?
What percentage of Federal Hill residents are renters?
Is Federal Hill a high social-vulnerability area?
Which tracts in Federal Hill have the highest eviction risk?
How safe is Federal Hill for landlords?
What is the demographic breakdown of Federal Hill?
Other neighborhoods near Federal Hill
Other neighborhoods inside Providence
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Federal Hill.