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Neighborhood · Providence, RI

Federal Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated

5 census tracts · pop 16,742 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10 · range 6–8

Federal Hill is a 5-tract neighborhood of Providence, RI, population 16,742. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.6/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6 to 8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Filings are well documented here: 569 across 5 observed tracts.

Against a Providence baseline of 29.2%, 34% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 21.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 10.5% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $1,518, 8% above the Providence average of $1,408. That places it #7 of 15 neighborhoods in Providence.

Judgments average 3.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
5 tracts · population-weighted
Federal Hill vs Providence How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.9% +16%
Providence: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$1,518 +8%
Providence: $1,408
Average HH income
$73,723 +10%
Providence: $66,772
Poverty rate
24.4% +22%
Providence: 20.1%
Renter share
76.6% +31%
Providence: 58.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Federal Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 6–8

Why Federal Hill scores 7.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
77% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
24.4% below poverty line · Range 2.5–9.5 across tracts
6.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–6.9 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

Federal Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Federal Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Federal Hill: 7.67.6Federal HillNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.65.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Federal Hill?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2 points from 6 to 8. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Federal Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
44007000900 8 2,913 26% $1,452
44007001000 8 2,523 64% $1,319
44007002200 7.9 5,647 29% $1,373
44007002500 7.5 3,117 33% $1,921
44007001100 6 2,542 25% $1,621
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 50%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Federal Hill

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 569Total filings (sum)
  • 6.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak year (2016)
  • 6.15%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,482Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.1Avg monthly observed
  • 5.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.93×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Federal Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Federal Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Federal Hill?

Federal Hill scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Federal Hill compare to Providence overall?

Federal Hill scores 1.0 points higher than Providence overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,518 vs $1,408.
Q3

What is the average rent in Federal Hill?

Average gross rent in Federal Hill is $1,518/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Federal Hill residents are renters?

77% of Federal Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Providence). The neighborhood has 16,742 residents.
Q5

Is Federal Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Federal Hill sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Federal Hill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Federal Hill is census tract 44007000900 (score 8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 8, a spread of 2 points.
Q7

How safe is Federal Hill for landlords?

Federal Hill carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Providence as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Federal Hill?

Federal Hill has 17,693 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43.5%), Hispanic / Latino (40.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Federal Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Providence

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Federal Hill.

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