Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence
Tract 44007001300 · Providence County, RI · pop 3,758 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 44007001300 covers part of the Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District area of Providence, RI, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 20% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Providence County average of 43.2%.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 51%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,714
Renter share63.5%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate18.9%
Median income$76,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8129, -71.4356 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
18.9% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,334 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 101Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.7%Peak (2016)
- 56Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 184Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.1%Housing insecurity
- 11.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.7%Food insecurity
- 18.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.1%Transit barriers
- 13.0%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.5/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 101 evictions over 2 years of observation.
The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.7% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the RI average is 5.3, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007001300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007001300?
Census tract 44007001300 in the Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007001300?
Median gross rent is $1,334/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007001300?
18.9% of residents in tract 44007001300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,758.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007001300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 44th, minority 72th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 44007001300 considered part of Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007001300 fall within Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007001300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 101 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007001300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.67% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007001300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007001300 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007001300 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007001300 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007001300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Edgewood
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Merino
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Merino
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Elmwood
8
/ 10 · High
Related
Explore the geography around tract 44007001300
Parent city ↑
Providence
6.6 / 10
Parent county ↑
Providence County
Parent state ↑
Rhode Island
Sibling tract →
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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