Federal Hill Eviction Risk: High , Providence

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.5/10. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 2.3 points above the Providence County average of 5.7.

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Housing insecurity runs 23.3% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 102 eviction filings across 2 observed years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2016, when 6.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.