Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Federal Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence
Tract 44007002200 · Providence County, RI · pop 5,647 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 44007002200 sits in the Federal Hill area of Providence eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. It is home to 5,647 residents. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Providence County average of 43.2%.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,745
Renter share66.7%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$66,487
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8300, -71.4375 · click any tract to drill in
Why Federal Hill scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,373 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Federal Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 99%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 211Total filings over 2 yrs
- 9.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2015)
- 94Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 398Total filings 2020-21
- 5.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.64×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Federal Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.8%Housing insecurity
- 18.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.1%Food insecurity
- 32.8%SNAP enrollment
- 17.9%Transit barriers
- 23.6%No health insurance
- 21.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Federal Hill
It sits 2.2 points above the Providence County average of 5.7. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 7.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.6% against 11.3% nationally.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records carry 211 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. Filings peaked in 2015 at 10.5% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007002200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007002200?
Census tract 44007002200 in the Federal Hill neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007002200?
Median gross rent is $1,373/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007002200?
21.8% of residents in tract 44007002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,647.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007002200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 83th, minority 91th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 44007002200 considered part of Federal Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007002200 fall within Federal Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007002200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 211 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007002200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.41% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007002200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007002200 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007002200 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007002200 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007002200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Dyerville
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Manton
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Stimson Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Providence Jewelry Manufacturing Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
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