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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,434 of 84,120 nationally

Federal Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence

Tract 44007002200 · Providence County, RI · pop 5,647 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 44007002200 sits in the Federal Hill neighborhood of Providence, Rhode Island. It has a population of 5,647 and an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). 29% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 22% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,373/month against a median household income of $66,487 — roughly 25% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 47% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,745
Renter share66.7%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$66,487

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank — 25th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 5 tracts In Federal Hill
Low
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank — 20th percentileBottomTop
#34 of 42 tracts In Providence
Very Low
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank — 57th percentileBottomTop
#63 of 145 tracts In Providence County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank — 63th percentileBottomTop
#93 of 247 tracts In Rhode Island
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.8300, -71.4375 · click any tract to drill in

Why Federal Hill scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,373 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5

How Federal Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Federal Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 002200Providence: 6.76.7Providenceparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 211Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 9.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak (2015)
  • 94Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 398Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.64×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 — 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (0.65× baseline)2020-02-01: 7 filings (0.68× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 7 filings (0.93× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-09-01: 6 filings (0.56× baseline)2020-10-01: 6 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-11-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2020-12-01: 8 filings (1.10× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (0.39× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (0.20× baseline)2021-03-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2021-04-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-06-01: 9 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-07-01: 6 filings (0.49× baseline)2021-08-01: 9 filings (0.95× baseline)2021-09-01: 10 filings (0.93× baseline)2021-10-01: 10 filings (0.95× baseline)2021-11-01: 8 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-12-01: 12 filings (1.66× baseline)2022-01-01: 9 filings (1.16× baseline)2022-02-01: 8 filings (0.78× baseline)2022-03-01: 10 filings (1.18× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 12 filings (1.26× baseline)2022-09-01: 7 filings (0.65× baseline)2022-10-01: 9 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-11-01: 7 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 6 filings (0.83× baseline)2023-01-01: 8 filings (1.03× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.20× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (0.59× baseline)2023-04-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-05-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-06-01: 8 filings (1.07× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2023-08-01: 7 filings (0.74× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (0.56× baseline)2023-10-01: 7 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2023-12-01: 5 filings (0.69× baseline)2024-01-01: 6 filings (0.77× baseline)2024-02-01: 5 filings (0.49× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-05-01: 10 filings (1.43× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (0.49× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (0.63× baseline)2024-09-01: 5 filings (0.47× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (0.97× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (0.52× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.27× baseline)2025-07-01: 9 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-08-01: 7 filings (0.74× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (0.37× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.19× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (0.55× baseline)2026-01-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Federal Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007002200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007002200?

Census tract 44007002200 in the Federal Hill neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 44007002200?

Median gross rent is $1,373/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007002200?

21.8% of residents in tract 44007002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,647.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007002200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 83th, minority 91th, housing 57th.

Q5

Is tract 44007002200 considered part of Federal Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007002200 fall within Federal Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007002200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 211 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007002200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.41% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 44007002200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply — likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

Q8

What share of households in tract 44007002200 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q9

How does tract 44007002200 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007002200 scores 6.2/10 — lower than the parent city of Providence at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 44007002200 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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