Federal Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence
Tract 44007002200 · Providence County, RI · pop 5,647 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 44007002200 sits in the Federal Hill area of Providence eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. It is home to 5,647 residents. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Providence County average of 43.2%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8300, -71.4375 · click any tract to drill in
Why Federal Hill scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Federal Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 99%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 211Total filings over 2 yrs
- 9.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2015)
- 94Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 398Total filings 2020-21
- 5.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.64×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Federal Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.8%Housing insecurity
- 18.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.1%Food insecurity
- 32.8%SNAP enrollment
- 17.9%Transit barriers
- 23.6%No health insurance
- 21.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Federal Hill
It sits 2.2 points above the Providence County average of 5.7. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 7.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.6% against 11.3% nationally.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records carry 211 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. Filings peaked in 2015 at 10.5% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 44007002200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007002200?
What is the average rent in tract 44007002200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007002200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007002200?
Is tract 44007002200 considered part of Federal Hill?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007002200?
Did eviction filings in tract 44007002200 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 44007002200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 44007002200 compare to Providence overall?
Was tract 44007002200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.