Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence

Tract 44007000400 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,373 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 44007000400 sits in the Wesleyan Avenue Historic District area of Providence eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.6/10. Food insecurity runs 42.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Risk score

7.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 40% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units1,421

Renter share73.3%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate18.9%

Median income$68,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.8058, -71.4160 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Providence

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Rhode Island legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

18.9% poverty · this tract

4.7

Supply constraint

$1,148 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Providence

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Providence

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Providence

6.5

How Wesleyan Avenue Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

99%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

126Total filings over 2 yrs
7.38%Avg annual filing rate
8.5%Peak (2015)
55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

366Total filings 2020-21
4.8Avg monthly (observed)
5.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.80×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wesleyan Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

35.1%Housing insecurity
20.8%Utility-shutoff threat
42.8%Food insecurity
38.0%SNAP enrollment
19.3%Transit barriers
23.6%No health insurance
21.1%Frequent mental distress
38.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

SNAP participation runs 38.0% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.

This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.

At $1,148 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Providence commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 126 filings here across 2 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 8.5% of renter households.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007000400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007000400?

Census tract 44007000400 in the Wesleyan Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 44007000400?

Median gross rent is $1,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007000400?

18.9% of residents in tract 44007000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,373.

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 93th, minority 93th, housing 58th.

Is tract 44007000400 considered part of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007000400 fall within Wesleyan Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007000400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007000400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.38% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 44007000400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 44007000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 44007000400 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007000400 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 44007000400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org