Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Providence

Tract 44007000500 · Providence County, RI · pop 3,674 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 44007000500 covers part of the Wesleyan Avenue Historic District area of Providence, RI, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 43.2% across Providence County.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 22% Owners 29%

Tract context

Occupied units1,026

Renter share71.5%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate31.7%

Median income$33,560

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.7988, -71.4100 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Providence

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Rhode Island legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

31.7% poverty · this tract

7.9

Supply constraint

$781 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Providence

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Providence

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Providence

6.5

How Wesleyan Avenue Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

98%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
99%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
1%Grade B
99%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

109Total filings over 2 yrs
7.59%Avg annual filing rate
8.3%Peak (2015)
50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

245Total filings 2020-21
3.2Avg monthly (observed)
3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.87×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wesleyan Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

38.1%Housing insecurity
23.9%Utility-shutoff threat
48.8%Food insecurity
45.5%SNAP enrollment
22.5%Transit barriers
26.2%No health insurance
21.6%Frequent mental distress
43.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

SNAP participation runs 45.5% against 15.2% nationally. At $781 a month, rents run 45% under what the rest of Providence commands. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. It sits 2.3 points above the Providence County average of 5.7. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.9/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 109 filings here across 2 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 8.3% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007000500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007000500?

Census tract 44007000500 in the Wesleyan Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 44007000500?

Median gross rent is $781/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007000500?

31.7% of residents in tract 44007000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,674.

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007000500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 95th, minority 99th, housing 57th.

Is tract 44007000500 considered part of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007000500 fall within Wesleyan Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007000500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 109 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.59% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 44007000500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 44007000500 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 44007000500 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007000500 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 44007000500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org