Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence
Tract 44007000500 · Providence County, RI · pop 3,674 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
The Wesleyan Avenue Historic District area of Providence anchors census tract 44007000500, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 94th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 69% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $781 a month while the average household earns $33,560 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 72% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,026
Renter share71.5%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate31.7%
Median income$33,560
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.7988, -71.4100 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
31.7% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$781 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Wesleyan Avenue Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 99%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 109Total filings over 2 yrs
- 7.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.3%Peak (2015)
- 50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 245Total filings 2020-21
- 3.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.87×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Wesleyan Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 38.1%Housing insecurity
- 23.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.8%Food insecurity
- 45.5%SNAP enrollment
- 22.5%Transit barriers
- 26.2%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 43.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Providence eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Providence County average of 6.1 and above the Rhode Island statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.87x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007000500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007000500?
Census tract 44007000500 in the Wesleyan Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007000500?
Median gross rent is $781/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007000500?
31.7% of residents in tract 44007000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,674.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007000500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 95th, minority 99th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 44007000500 considered part of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007000500 fall within Wesleyan Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007000500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 109 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.59% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007000500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007000500 struggle to pay rent?
About 38.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007000500 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007000500 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007000500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Elmwood
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Manton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Merino
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Stimson Avenue Historic District
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 44007000500
Parent city ↑
Providence
6 / 10
Parent county ↑
Providence County
Parent state ↑
Rhode Island
Sibling tract →
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
6.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
6.6 / 10
Sibling tract →
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
5.3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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