Lavender Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 55.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,028, 43% above the Simpsonville average of $1,415.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.1/10.

SNAP participation is 3.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

That places it #4 of 7 neighborhoods in Simpsonville. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Shadowood and Fowler Chase score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.