Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Fourth Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Birmingham

Tract 01073002702 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 2,099 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 01073002702 sits in the Fourth Avenue Historic District area of Birmingham eviction risk, AL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 2,099. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 48% Owners 0%

Tract context

Occupied units787

Renter share100.0%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate47.3%

Median income$17,295

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Birmingham and the region

Centroid at 33.5213, -86.8129 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fourth Avenue Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Birmingham

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Alabama legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

47.3% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$604 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Birmingham

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Birmingham

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Birmingham

3.0

How Fourth Avenue Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

100%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
53%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fourth Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

34.4%Housing insecurity
28.4%Utility-shutoff threat
51.2%Food insecurity
48.9%SNAP enrollment
25.7%Transit barriers
19.2%No health insurance
22.0%Frequent mental distress
51.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fourth Avenue Historic District

Average gross rent is $604, 45% below the Birmingham average. Food insecurity runs 51.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 48.9% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 47%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average income of $17,295 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 1.1 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.3. Cost burden runs about half here against 46.3% across Jefferson County.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Birmingham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 01073002702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073002702?

Census tract 01073002702 in the Fourth Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 01073002702?

Median gross rent is $604/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 01073002702?

47.3% of residents in tract 01073002702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,099.

How socially vulnerable is tract 01073002702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 32th, minority 86th, housing 94th.

Is tract 01073002702 considered part of Fourth Avenue Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01073002702 fall within Fourth Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 01073002702 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 01073002702 compare to Birmingham overall?

Tract 01073002702 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Birmingham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 01073002702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 53% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Birmingham

Top eight tracts in Birmingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.