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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Fourth Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Birmingham

Tract 01073001500 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 2,369 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Here is how census tract 01073001500, in the Fourth Avenue Historic District neighborhood of Birmingham eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,369. It lands near the 51st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $716 a month against an average household income of $34,122 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 37% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,026
Renter share66.1%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$34,122

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Fourth Avenue Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#27 of 71 tracts In Birmingham
Elevated
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#33 of 189 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#122 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Birmingham and the region

Centroid at 33.5299, -86.8197 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fourth Avenue Historic District scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Birmingham
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$716 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birmingham
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birmingham
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birmingham
3.0

How Fourth Avenue Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fourth Avenue Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 001500Birmingham: 2.92.9Birminghamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,307Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 12.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.1%Peak (2001)
  • 69Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 010730015002000: 126 filings (12.12/100 renter HHs)2001: 188 filings (18.08/100 renter HHs)2002: 182 filings (17.51/100 renter HHs)2003: 135 filings (12.99/100 renter HHs)2005: 104 filings (11.07/100 renter HHs)2006: 141 filings (15.01/100 renter HHs)2012: 103 filings (13.07/100 renter HHs)2013: 96 filings (12.18/100 renter HHs)2014: 76 filings (9.64/100 renter HHs)2015: 87 filings (11.04/100 renter HHs)2016: 69 filings (8.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fourth Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fourth Avenue Historic District

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.3 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 94% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01073001500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073001500?

Census tract 01073001500 in the Fourth Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01073001500?

Median gross rent is $716/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01073001500?

26.6% of residents in tract 01073001500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,369.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01073001500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 44th, minority 93th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 01073001500 considered part of Fourth Avenue Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01073001500 fall within Fourth Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01073001500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,307 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01073001500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.84% of renter households, peaking at 18.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 01073001500 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 01073001500 compare to Birmingham overall?

Tract 01073001500 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Birmingham at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 01073001500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 94% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Birmingham

Top eight tracts in Birmingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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