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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Fourth Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Birmingham

Tract 01073002701 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 1,151 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 01073002701 in the Fourth Avenue Historic District area of Birmingham ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,151 residents. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,911 a month while the average household earns $62,829 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 25% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units983
Renter share50.1%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$62,829

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Fourth Avenue Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 71 tracts In Birmingham
Very Low
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#97 of 189 tracts In Jefferson County
Moderate
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#708 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Birmingham and the region

Centroid at 33.5145, -86.8089 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fourth Avenue Historic District scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Birmingham
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,911 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birmingham
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birmingham
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birmingham
3.0

How Fourth Avenue Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fourth Avenue Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 002701Birmingham: 2.92.9Birminghamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fourth Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fourth Avenue Historic District

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.3 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 9% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01073002701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073002701?

Census tract 01073002701 in the Fourth Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01073002701?

Median gross rent is $1,911/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01073002701?

9.4% of residents in tract 01073002701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,151.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01073002701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 1th, minority 42th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 01073002701 considered part of Fourth Avenue Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01073002701 fall within Fourth Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 01073002701 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 01073002701 compare to Birmingham overall?

Tract 01073002701 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Birmingham at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 01073002701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Birmingham

Top eight tracts in Birmingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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