Fourth Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Birmingham

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. At $1,911 a month, rents run 73% over what the rest of Birmingham commands.

The voucher gap is 50.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $62,829, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10. SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Birmingham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.