Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Moon Valley Canyon Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013103604 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,441 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

04013103604 is a census tract in the Moon Valley Canyon area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 11% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units1,852

Renter share25.9%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate11.9%

Median income$82,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6354, -112.0867 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moon Valley Canyon scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Phoenix

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

11.9% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$1,786 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Phoenix

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Phoenix

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Phoenix

3.0

How Moon Valley Canyon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

67%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

455Total filings over 5 yrs
18.19%Avg annual filing rate
22.7%Peak (2003)
60Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 to 2005

Filings dropped 30% over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moon Valley Canyon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.8%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
16.6%Food insecurity
12.1%SNAP enrollment
8.6%Transit barriers
13.3%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
30.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moon Valley Canyon

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 455 filings here across 5 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,786, 13% above the Phoenix average.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 22.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 18.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013103604

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013103604?

Census tract 04013103604 in the Moon Valley Canyon neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013103604?

Median gross rent is $1,786/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013103604?

11.9% of residents in tract 04013103604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,441.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013103604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 83th, minority 62th, housing 83th.

Is tract 04013103604 considered part of Moon Valley Canyon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013103604 fall within Moon Valley Canyon (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013103604?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 455 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013103604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.19% of renter households, peaking at 22.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013103604 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013103604 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013103604 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org