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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Greentrails Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013103611 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,082 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

04013103611 is a census tract in the Greentrails area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,082 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 13% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,266
Renter share20.1%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$122,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Greentrails
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#284 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#660 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6270, -112.0564 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greentrails scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,852 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Greentrails compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greentrails risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 103611Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 169Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 23.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.8%Peak (2005)
  • 67Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131036112001: 8 filings (8.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 25 filings (25.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 18 filings (18.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 51 filings (51.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 67 filings (15.80/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 738% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Greentrails. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greentrails

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened.

SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,852, 17% above the Phoenix average.

Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 169 filings here across 5 tracked years.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2005, when 15.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 23.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013103611

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013103611?

Census tract 04013103611 in the Greentrails neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013103611?

Median gross rent is $1,852/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013103611?

3.8% of residents in tract 04013103611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,082.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013103611?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 10th, minority 33th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 04013103611 considered part of Greentrails?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013103611 fall within Greentrails (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013103611?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 169 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013103611 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.56% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013103611 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013103611 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013103611 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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