Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Greentrails Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 13,649 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3–5

Greentrails is a 3-tract neighborhood of Phoenix, AZ and houses 13,649 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, in the Moderate tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Phoenix rate of 31.0%.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records carry 2,564 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 43.5% of renter households. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 3/10.

That places it #46 of 113 neighborhoods in Phoenix. Judgments average 9.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Squaw Peak Terrace and Park Phoenix score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $1,631, close to the Phoenix average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $78,583.

49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Greentrails vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

49.6% +60%

Phoenix: 31.0%

Average gross rent

$1,631 +3%

Phoenix: $1,582

Average HH income

$78,583 +2%

Phoenix: $77,041

Poverty rate

13.7% -4%

Phoenix: 14.3%

Renter share

48.8% +14%

Phoenix: 42.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Greentrails and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–5

Why Greentrails scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

50% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

49% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

13.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.2 across tracts

3.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–4.5 across tracts

3.3

Risk score comparison

Greentrails vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Greentrails?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2 points from 3 to 5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

5.0 4.2 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Greentrails

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013619200	5	5,717	50%	$1,527
04013619000	4.2	2,850	72%	$1,445
04013103611	3	5,082	36%	$1,852

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 27%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 53%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Greentrails

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,564Total filings (sum)
24.29%Avg annual filing rate
43.5%Peak year (2005)
16.26%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Greentrails

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.2%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility shutoff threat
13.4%Food insecurity
9.9%SNAP enrollment
9.6%No health insurance
27.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Greentrails

What is the eviction-risk score for Greentrails?

Greentrails scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Greentrails compare to Phoenix overall?

Greentrails scores 0.5 points higher than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,631 vs $1,582.

What is the average rent in Greentrails?

Average gross rent in Greentrails is $1,631/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Greentrails residents are renters?

49% of Greentrails households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 13,649 residents.

Is Greentrails a high social-vulnerability area?

Greentrails sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Greentrails have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Greentrails is census tract 04013619200 (score 5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5, a spread of 2 points.

How safe is Greentrails for landlords?

Greentrails carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Greentrails?

Greentrails has 14,164 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.5%), Hispanic / Latino (23.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Greentrails

4.3 Paradise City 3 tracts · pop 13,935 3.1 Sunset Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,878 4.3 Central Park Village 2 tracts · pop 12,148 3.5 Valley View 4 tracts · pop 19,999 4.3 Moon Valley Canyon 2 tracts · pop 9,919 4.5 Lookout Mountain 2 tracts · pop 7,103

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Greentrails.

4.1 Park Phoenix 6 tracts · pop 28,724 4.1 Citrus Hills 4 tracts · pop 21,052 4.1 North Garfield 5 tracts · pop 22,611 4.1 Country Ridge 2 tracts · pop 10,031 4.1 Squaw Peak Terrace 3 tracts · pop 14,009 4.1 El Camino Dr. 4 tracts · pop 16,240

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