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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Greentrails Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013619000 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,850 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 04013619000 covers part of the Greentrails area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,850 residents. 72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 10% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,673
Renter share34.8%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$52,772

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Greentrails
Moderate
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#187 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Moderate
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#325 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#559 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6512, -112.0569 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greentrails scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,445 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Greentrails compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greentrails risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 619000Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 203Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 15.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.6%Peak (2001)
  • 37Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040136190002001: 63 filings (23.60/100 renter HHs)2002: 47 filings (17.60/100 renter HHs)2003: 20 filings (7.49/100 renter HHs)2004: 36 filings (13.48/100 renter HHs)2005: 37 filings (17.21/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Greentrails. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greentrails

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $52,772, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The filing record is not thin: 203 evictions over 5 years of observation.

SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2001, when 23.6% of renter households were served.

Average gross rent is $1,445, 9% below the Phoenix average. In a typical year about 15.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013619000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013619000?

Census tract 04013619000 in the Greentrails neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013619000?

Median gross rent is $1,445/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013619000?

8.6% of residents in tract 04013619000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,850.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013619000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 65th, minority 54th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 04013619000 considered part of Greentrails?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013619000 fall within Greentrails (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013619000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 203 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013619000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.88% of renter households, peaking at 23.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013619000 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013619000 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013619000 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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