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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Culdesac Tempe Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013319201 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,093 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

In Culdesac Tempe in Tempe, census tract 04013319201 scores 6.2/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,480 a month while the average household earns $51,977 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 31% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,868
Renter share69.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate24.8%
Median income$51,977

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Culdesac Tempe
Low
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 41 tracts In Tempe
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#191 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.4184, -111.9002 · click any tract to drill in

Why Culdesac Tempe scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
24.8% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,480 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5

How Culdesac Tempe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Culdesac Tempe risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 319201Tempe: 3.13.1Tempeparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,132Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.4%Peak (2005)
  • 270Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040133192012001: 252 filings (14.25/100 renter HHs)2002: 223 filings (12.61/100 renter HHs)2003: 213 filings (12.04/100 renter HHs)2004: 174 filings (9.84/100 renter HHs)2005: 270 filings (17.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Culdesac Tempe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Culdesac Tempe

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tempe eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,132 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 13.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.4% of renter households in 2005.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319201?

Census tract 04013319201 in the Culdesac Tempe neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013319201?

Median gross rent is $1,480/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319201?

24.8% of residents in tract 04013319201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,093.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 28th, minority 78th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 04013319201 considered part of Culdesac Tempe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319201 fall within Culdesac Tempe (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,132 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.23% of renter households, peaking at 17.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013319201 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013319201 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013319201 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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