Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Peterson Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tempe

Tract 04013319802 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,582 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 04013319802 sits in the Peterson area of Tempe eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. Population here is 3,582. Cost burden runs 62% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 27% Owners 28%

Tract context

Occupied units1,961

Renter share72.1%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate7.1%

Median income$60,924

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.3892, -111.9350 · click any tract to drill in

Why Peterson scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tempe

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

7.1% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$1,450 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tempe

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tempe

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tempe

4.5

How Peterson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
31%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Peterson. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.2%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
11.9%Food insecurity
7.2%SNAP enrollment
7.8%Transit barriers
9.9%No health insurance
16.4%Frequent mental distress
23.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Peterson

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,450, 17% below the Tempe average. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

SNAP participation runs 7.2% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.8 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $60,924.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319802?

Census tract 04013319802 in the Peterson neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013319802?

Median gross rent is $1,450/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319802?

7.1% of residents in tract 04013319802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,582.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 2th, minority 72th, housing 31th.

Is tract 04013319802 considered part of Peterson?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319802 fall within Peterson (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013319802 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013319802 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013319802 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.