Neighborhood · Tempe, AZ

Peterson Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 20,867 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.2–5.3

Peterson spans 6 census tracts of Tempe, AZ, population 20,867. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. 54% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Tempe rate of 31.3%.

The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. This is a renter market: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.2 to 5.3, a 1.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Court records carry 3,677 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 66.0% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 26.1% in 2005, is well off that peak. Average gross rent is $1,614, 7% below the Tempe average of $1,743. That places it #3 of 14 neighborhoods in Tempe.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $65,378.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

6 tracts · population-weighted

Peterson vs Tempe How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

54.1% +73%

Tempe: 31.3%

Average gross rent

$1,614 -7%

Tempe: $1,743

Average HH income

$65,378 -16%

Tempe: $77,643

Poverty rate

13.6% -16%

Tempe: 16.2%

Renter share

67.2% +17%

Tempe: 57.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Peterson and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.2–5.3

Why Peterson scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

54% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

67% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

13.6% below poverty line · Range 1.8–4.4 across tracts

3.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–5.0 across tracts

3.3

Risk score comparison

Peterson vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Peterson?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.1 points from 4.2 to 5.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.3 5.3 5.3 5.0 4.5 4.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in Peterson

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013319706	5.3	5,185	57%	$1,679
04013319801	5.3	3,079	40%	$1,315
04013319902	5.3	2,701	54%	$1,899
04013320007	5	6,318	55%	$1,679
04013319802	4.5	3,582	62%	$1,450
04013319707	4.2	2	—	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 20%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 64%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Peterson

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

3,677Total filings (sum)
30.52%Avg annual filing rate
66.0%Peak year (2004)
29.23%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Peterson

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.9%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility shutoff threat
18.3%Food insecurity
12.7%SNAP enrollment
13.5%No health insurance
27.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Peterson

What is the eviction-risk score for Peterson?

Peterson scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Peterson compare to Tempe overall?

Peterson scores 0.9 points higher than Tempe overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,614 vs $1,743.

What is the average rent in Peterson?

Average gross rent in Peterson is $1,614/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Peterson residents are renters?

67% of Peterson households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Tempe). The neighborhood has 20,867 residents.

Is Peterson a high social-vulnerability area?

Peterson sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Peterson have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Peterson is census tract 04013319706 (score 5.3/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 5.3, a spread of 1.1 points.

How safe is Peterson for landlords?

Peterson carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tempe as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Peterson?

Peterson has 22,115 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (40%), Hispanic / Latino (33.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Peterson

5 Tempe Junction 9 tracts · pop 42,970 4 Cimarron 6 tracts · pop 23,941 4 McClintock Manor 5 tracts · pop 24,876 4.3 Helena 2 tracts · pop 11,465 4 Cambridge Heights 2 tracts · pop 4,384 3.1 Kyrene 2 tracts · pop 8,029

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tempe

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Peterson.

5.1 Tempe Junction 9 tracts · pop 42,970 5.2 Papage Parkway No. 6 1 tracts · pop 3,369 5.4 Culdesac Tempe 5 tracts · pop 29,042 4.5 Helena 2 tracts · pop 11,465 4.4 Campo Allegre Tract 1 tracts · pop 3,883 4.2 The Lakes 1 tracts · pop 5,212

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