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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Peterson Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tempe

Tract 04013319706 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,185 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

04013319706 is a census tract in the Peterson area of Tempe, AZ. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,185. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 28% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,040
Renter share65.0%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$66,638

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Peterson
Very High
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 41 tracts In Tempe
Elevated
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.3821, -111.9534 · click any tract to drill in

Why Peterson scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,679 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5

How Peterson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Peterson risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 319706Tempe: 4.24.2Tempeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,880Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 54.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 66.0%Peak (2003)
  • 372Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040133197062001: 400 filings (59.68/100 renter HHs)2002: 301 filings (44.91/100 renter HHs)2003: 442 filings (65.95/100 renter HHs)2004: 365 filings (54.46/100 renter HHs)2005: 372 filings (49.26/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Peterson. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Peterson

Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Court records carry 1,880 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.2% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2003, when 66.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 54.9% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319706

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319706?

Census tract 04013319706 in the Peterson neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013319706?

Median gross rent is $1,679/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319706?

15.6% of residents in tract 04013319706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,185.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319706?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 35th, minority 78th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 04013319706 considered part of Peterson?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319706 fall within Peterson (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319706?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,880 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319706 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 54.85% of renter households, peaking at 66.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013319706 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013319706 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013319706 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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