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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Hohokam Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013420503 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,507 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

04013420503 is a census tract in the Hohokam Village area of Mesa, AZ. It scores 4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,507. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 29% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,388
Renter share60.4%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$59,985

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Hohokam Village
Moderate
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#40 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#356 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#627 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4464, -111.8177 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hohokam Village scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,689 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Hohokam Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hohokam Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 420503Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,620Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 87.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 94.4%Peak (2004)
  • 329Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134205032001: 256 filings (64.64/100 renter HHs)2002: 353 filings (89.13/100 renter HHs)2003: 308 filings (77.77/100 renter HHs)2004: 374 filings (94.44/100 renter HHs)2005: 329 filings (110.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hohokam Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hohokam Village

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $59,985 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The filing record is not thin: 1,620 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2004 at 94.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 87.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,689, close to the Mesa average. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013420503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420503?

Census tract 04013420503 in the Hohokam Village neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013420503?

Median gross rent is $1,689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420503?

11.5% of residents in tract 04013420503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,507.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 61th, minority 77th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 04013420503 considered part of Hohokam Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420503 fall within Hohokam Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420503?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,620 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 87.24% of renter households, peaking at 94.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013420503 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013420503 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013420503 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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