Mesa Patios Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013421001 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,824 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 04013421001 covers the Mesa Patios area of Mesa, home to 3,824 residents. For landlords it grades 5.4/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 69% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,311 a month against an average household income of $48,718 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4296, -111.8356 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mesa Patios scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Mesa Patios compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 875Total filings over 5 yrs
- 15.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.7%Peak (2005)
- 245Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mesa Patios. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.3%Food insecurity
- 19.8%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 18.2%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 42.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Mesa Patios
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mesa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 875 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 15.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 24.7% of renter households in 2005.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 04013421001
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421001?
What is the average rent in tract 04013421001?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421001?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421001?
Is tract 04013421001 considered part of Mesa Patios?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421001?
What share of households in tract 04013421001 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013421001 compare to Mesa overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.