Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,857 of 84,120 nationally
Mesa Patios Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013421001 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,824 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 04013421001 sits in the Mesa Patios neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 3,824 and an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). 69% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 45% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,311/month against a median household income of $48,718 — roughly 32% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,808
Renter share68.7%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$48,718
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4296, -111.8356 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mesa Patios scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,311 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Mesa Patios compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 875Total filings over 5 yrs
- 15.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.7%Peak (2005)
- 245Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 78% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mesa Patios. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.3%Food insecurity
- 19.8%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 18.2%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 42.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 04013421001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421001?
Census tract 04013421001 in the Mesa Patios neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013421001?
Median gross rent is $1,311/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421001?
26.0% of residents in tract 04013421001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,824.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 94th, minority 60th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 04013421001 considered part of Mesa Patios?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013421001 fall within Mesa Patios (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 875 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013421001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.76% of renter households, peaking at 24.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013421001 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013421001 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013421001 scores 5.4/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013421902
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04013422107
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04013522802
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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