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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Royal Palm Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013420710 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,411 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 04013420710 in the Royal Palm Village area of Mesa, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,411. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 14% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,575
Renter share29.7%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$51,894

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Royal Palm Village
High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#26 of 133 tracts In Mesa
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#227 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#397 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4119, -111.7451 · click any tract to drill in

Why Royal Palm Village scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,553 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Royal Palm Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Royal Palm Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 420710Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 526Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 42.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 54.6%Peak (2001)
  • 99Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134207102001: 130 filings (54.58/100 renter HHs)2002: 87 filings (36.53/100 renter HHs)2003: 96 filings (40.31/100 renter HHs)2004: 114 filings (47.86/100 renter HHs)2005: 99 filings (32.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Royal Palm Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Royal Palm Village

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $51,894 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 526 filings here across 5 tracked years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

The worst year on record was 2001, when 54.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 42.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013420710

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420710?

Census tract 04013420710 in the Royal Palm Village neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013420710?

Median gross rent is $1,553/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420710?

19.2% of residents in tract 04013420710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,411.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420710?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 96th, minority 61th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 04013420710 considered part of Royal Palm Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420710 fall within Royal Palm Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420710?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 526 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420710 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 42.35% of renter households, peaking at 54.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013420710 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013420710 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013420710 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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