Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Fuller Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013421702 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,942 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 04013421702 covers the Fuller Ranch area of Mesa in Arizona. Home to 3,942 residents, it scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #28,318 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

77% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,337 a month while the average household earns $42,122 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 5% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,581
Renter share22.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate35.0%
Median income$42,122

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Fuller Ranch
Very High
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Very High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#127 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#318 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4118, -111.7797 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fuller Ranch scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
35.0% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,337 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Fuller Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fuller Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 421702Mesa: 2.82.8Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 300Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 10.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.2%Peak (2004)
  • 58Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134217022001: 61 filings (10.45/100 renter HHs)2002: 58 filings (9.94/100 renter HHs)2003: 52 filings (8.91/100 renter HHs)2004: 71 filings (12.17/100 renter HHs)2005: 58 filings (10.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fuller Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fuller Ranch

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mesa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 300 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 10.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.2% of renter households in 2004.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013421702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421702?

Census tract 04013421702 in the Fuller Ranch neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013421702?

Median gross rent is $1,337/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421702?

35.0% of residents in tract 04013421702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,942.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 96th, minority 67th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 04013421702 considered part of Fuller Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013421702 fall within Fuller Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 300 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013421702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.30% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013421702 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013421702 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013421702 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related