Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Ranch West Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422503 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,764 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 04013422503 sits in the Ranch West area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 6,764. Cost burden runs 69% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,552
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$88,537
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3863, -111.7798 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ranch West scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,398 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Ranch West compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,181Total filings over 5 yrs
- 47.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 54.6%Peak (2004)
- 382Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ranch West
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 2,181 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,398, 14% below the Mesa average. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2004 at 54.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 47.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $88,537.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422503?
Census tract 04013422503 in the Ranch West neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422503?
Median gross rent is $1,398/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422503?
9.1% of residents in tract 04013422503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,764.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 46th, minority 56th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422503 considered part of Ranch West?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422503 fall within Ranch West (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,181 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 47.17% of renter households, peaking at 54.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422503 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422503 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422503 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hohokam Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421901
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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