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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Mesa Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013422001 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,606

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 04013422001 in Mesa, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 32% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,241
Renter share60.8%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$47,380

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Very High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#239 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#397 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4042, -111.8316 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mesa scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,142 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Mesa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mesa risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 422001Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 255Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.5%Peak (2005)
  • 70Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134220012001: 60 filings (8.46/100 renter HHs)2002: 46 filings (6.49/100 renter HHs)2003: 33 filings (4.65/100 renter HHs)2004: 46 filings (6.49/100 renter HHs)2005: 70 filings (13.51/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mesa

Adults with no health insurance runs 31.6% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. At $1,142 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Mesa commands. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

SNAP participation runs 30.4% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 255 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 13.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422001?

Census tract 04013422001 in Mesa scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422001?

Median gross rent is $1,142/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422001?

16.6% of residents in tract 04013422001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,606.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 79th, minority 89th, housing 93th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 255 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.92% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013422001 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013422001 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422001 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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