Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Allen Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Gilbert
Tract 04013815300 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,731 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 04013815300 sits in the Allen Ranch area of Gilbert eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 3,731. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,093
Renter share5.5%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$185,703
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gilbert and the region
Centroid at 33.2955, -111.7816 · click any tract to drill in
Why Allen Ranch scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,250 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0
How Allen Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 9Total filings over 4 yrs
- 12.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 38.2%Peak (2003)
- 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 21.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Allen Ranch
Average gross rent is $3,250, 54% above the Gilbert average. The voucher gap is 66.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 9 filings here across 4 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2003 at 38.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013815300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013815300?
Census tract 04013815300 in the Allen Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013815300?
Median gross rent is $3,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013815300?
2.3% of residents in tract 04013815300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,731.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013815300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 37th, minority 46th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 04013815300 considered part of Allen Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013815300 fall within Allen Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013815300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013815300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.82% of renter households, peaking at 38.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013815300 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013815300 compare to Gilbert overall?
Tract 04013815300 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Gilbert at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert
Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
The Bridges at Gilbert
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Gilbert Ranch
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013422305
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
McQueen
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Gilbert Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Power Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Sunview
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Higley Park
3
/ 10 · Low
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