Allen Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 66.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. Against a Gilbert baseline of 28.9%, 35% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The filing record is not thin: 9 evictions logged in this tract. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 4.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filing activity peaked in 2003 at 38.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 0.4% in 2005, is well off that peak. That places it #3 of 16 neighborhoods in Gilbert.

At 6% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.