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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Cadence Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013817600 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,069 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 04013817600 covers part of the Cadence area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,069 residents. Average gross rent is $2,477, 53% above the Mesa average.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,583
Renter share10.1%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$138,208

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Cadence
Moderate
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#1,009 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3118, -111.6314 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cadence scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,477 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Cadence compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cadence risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 817600Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 3.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.6%Peak (2005)
  • 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138176002001: 1 filings (3.53/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cadence

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The voucher gap is 27.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3 filings here across 2 tracked years.

Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 2.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013817600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013817600?

Census tract 04013817600 in the Cadence neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013817600?

Median gross rent is $2,477/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013817600?

4.0% of residents in tract 04013817600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,069.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013817600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 65th, minority 50th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 04013817600 considered part of Cadence?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013817600 fall within Cadence (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013817600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 04013817600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.07% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013817600 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013817600 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013817600 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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