Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Manzanita Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Drexel Heights

Tract 04019002508 · Pima, AZ · pop 5,459 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 04019002508 sits in the Manzanita Manor area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. Population here is 5,459. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 12% Owners 67%

Tract context

Occupied units1,837

Renter share32.7%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate19.1%

Median income$61,817

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Drexel Heights and the region

Centroid at 32.1437, -111.0034 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manzanita Manor scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Drexel Heights

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

19.1% poverty · this tract

4.8

Supply constraint

$1,635 rent vs county FMR

6.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Drexel Heights

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Drexel Heights

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Drexel Heights

4.5

How Manzanita Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Manzanita Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.4%Housing insecurity
13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
27.1%Food insecurity
19.8%SNAP enrollment
14.2%Transit barriers
23.0%No health insurance
17.9%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manzanita Manor

The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $1,635 a month, rents run 43% over what the rest of Tucson commands. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.0% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

The voucher gap is 19.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 27.1% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 0.8 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019002508

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019002508?

Census tract 04019002508 in the Manzanita Manor neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04019002508?

Median gross rent is $1,635/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019002508?

19.1% of residents in tract 04019002508 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,459.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019002508?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 95th, minority 88th, housing 45th.

Is tract 04019002508 considered part of Manzanita Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019002508 fall within Manzanita Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04019002508 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04019002508 compare to Drexel Heights overall?

Tract 04019002508 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Drexel Heights at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Drexel Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Drexel Heights

Top eight tracts in Drexel Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.